New study calculates the abundance of all UK mammals!
A new study, published in the open-access journal ‘Plos One’ earlier this year, has estimated the distribution and abundance of all UK mammals, the first attempt to do this since the last review in 1995. The study took a ‘systematic modelling approach,’ meaning it overlaid Great Britain with a grid, and for each square, using models, estimated the occurrence and density of each mammal species. No easy task!
To demonstrate the model, let’s take the example of one of the UK’s most abundant mammals: the rabbit.
First, all records of rabbit occurrence are gathered from NBN Gateway (https://nbnatlas.org/) and these are matched with environmental data for those locations. From this we know the type of habitat rabbits seem to like and then we can scale this up to see in every square of Great Britain, ‘how suitable is that habitat for rabbits?’ This is called a ‘habitat suitability map’ and shows us where rabbits are expected to be, even if they have never been surveyed there. The study went further to match up habitat suitability scores with the few reported mammal densities in specific places, and once again by scaling this up predicted the overall abundance for rabbits and all other mammals in Great Britain.
The study yielded some impressive results however the range of some estimates were huge, such as an estimation of between 2 and 225 million rabbits! This is largely down to there not being enough data to put into the models in the first place, so they were unable to give out specific estimates. The study only managed to obtain densities for 53 species in certain locations and quoted:
“In particular this shows a substantial lack of recording for common species such as rabbit, and in areas of low or no density particularly for large mammal species.”
The study also highlighted that data for Northern England was particularly lacking.
So could camera traps help solve this problem?
There is certainly a lot of potential! Camera traps allow us to collect records of many more mammals that we would otherwise rarely see. As well as this, they can be put out in remote locations for long periods of time, something a human observer would never be able to do. They tick the boxes of recording lots of common species, and of course, large mammal species; two of the areas identified in this survey to be data deficient. As well as this, new methods mean that with a specific camera set-up we can estimate density from camera trapping images, a technique that could revolutionise the way we monitor wildlife populations.
With this in mind, particularly as MammalWeb is based largely in North-East England (another data deficient area!), it is more important than ever that people carry on uploading photos to the database, and classifying the species in them! Even if you feel you’re contributing very little, we have such limited data on mammal distributions in the UK that every photo counts, so please keep up the good work!
If you would like to read the article discussed in this post here is the link:
http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0176339